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30 million more men than women in China by 2020
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Meng Lelan -

Wall Street Journal reports that China acknowledges that its one-child policy wiill result in 30
million more men than women in the 20-45 year age group by 2020, which "may push increasing
numbers of Chinese men to move to other countries in search of partners".

Comments?


Lelan



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gamerfu -

Mongolia will united with China

Statistics are statistics, although China is a big country. They might want to enforce in the
people, that family blood lines are within girls too.

My honest opinion, we all will be mixed one day.










gato -

http://abcnews.go.com/International/...2790469&page=1
China Fears Lopsided Sex Ratio Could Spark Crisis
By BETH LOYD
Jan. 12, 2007

A report by China's State Population and Family Planning Commission says that in 2005, there were
118.6 boys born for every 100 girls, and those figures are expected to increase with China's
population. Experts warn of increased prostitution, AIDS cases and violence if this trend is not
reversed to some degree.

Zhai Zhenwu, professor of demography at the People's University of China, tells ABC News that if
this trend continues, "men won't be able to find wives, especially those with low income or little
education. That will create social instability and increase discrimination against women."

In rural areas, the sex imbalance is even greater. As many as 130 baby boys are born for every 100
girls.

Here males are preferred out of necessity. Boys can help with the farming and have a better chance
to make money for the family, as well as carry on the family name. There are reports that some
poor parents of unwanted baby girls sell their babies for as little as $8 to those seeking girls
for their sons.










gougou -



Quote:

"may push increasing numbers of Chinese men to move to other countries in search of partners".

I have doubts that the 30 million that will find themselves without girl are gonna be in a
position to move abroad.










adrianlondon -

As a gay man, I think this is a fanastic statistic ;)

On a slightly more serious note, this does place women in a position of power here; all the small
domestic spats I've seen on the streets have been with the woman demanding, and winning,
concessions from some browbeaten bloke. This coupled with the fact that foreign men seem to like
the Chinese women, whereas the foreign women don't go for Chinese men (based solely on the mixed
couples I see wandering aimlessly around Chaoyang), means the rate of single men must only
increase over time.

In order to continue the "men must father children to pass on the family name" xiaoshun thing,
maybe there needs to be a legalisation of polyandry (one woman, many husbands). The men all seem
so busy at work anyway.










Luobot -

China is doing a lot of research into stem cells. Before 2020, they’ll have the bio-technology
to simply even out the population. This may be called the “One country, two genders” 5 year
plan.

Good news: It won’t require a surgeon’s knife, but may be a little disorienting the first few
days after the procedure.










bhchao -

I wonder what would be the effects of shifting to a two-child policy. That was a policy originally
conceived by Zhou Enlai.during the 60's.

It would probably increase the rate at which female babies are born, and could keep the the birth
rate steady for males, but in the worst scenario, could also accelerate the birth rate for male
babies if both children happen to be boys.










wushijiao -

I also strongly doubt that the guys in the 30 million demographic (guys who can't find women in
2020) would have the ability to go abroad and marry a local woman.

On the other hand, I wonder if this means that women will have more power to find good husbands,
or at least richer husbands, thus securing more money for their parents who would be in
retirement. I sometimes wonder if all these rural parents are betting on the wrong gender!










bhchao -

They could move to Hong Kong as there are more women than men there.










Ncao -

I think a way the Chinese government could help this problem out is by stopping abortions that are
based on the sex of the fetus and the abandonment of baby girls.












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